July 29, 2020 12:35 PM

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Advisory 07 29 2020 12:30 PM

Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 (PTC9) (90% chance likely to become Tropical Storm Isaias sometime today) remains an open wave this morning, but is beginning to consolidate west of Guadeloupe. Slow development is leading to a more southerly track, possibly over Hispaniola. Given the large size of the wave, this would not dissipate the storm, but land interaction will likely limit its strength through Thursday. After Thursday, even if the storm moves away from Hispaniola and Cuba, wind shear is expected to increase. The storm is expected to struggle as it tracks toward Hispaniola, Cuba, the Bahamas and Florida. However, given that there is not a well-defined circulation yet, uncertianty remains higher than usual, and things could change. It is moving quickly westward and tropical storm-like impacts are likely in the the southeast U.S. as early as Saturday. The forecast will likely undergo changes during the next 2-3 days. 

Miami Shores Village will continue to monitor PTC9 as there is potential for our area to be in the track of this system by late this week into the weekend bringing tropical storm force winds and rain. Please keep a close eye on this sytem and have a hurricane plan ready just in case. 

Miami Shores Village will continue to provide updates as they become available. Please visit hurricanes.gov for more information from the National Hurricanne Center.


*Posted July 29, 2020 @ 12:35 PM E. Keeley